XRP vs Litecoin: Which ETF will be approved first? thumbnail

XRP vs Litecoin: Which ETF will be approved first?

$46.1K
Jan 1, 2026
XRP 100% chance
XRP100.0%
LITECOIN0.0%

Rules

Altcoin ETFs are heating up, and both XRP and Litecoin are in the mix for potential approval. But which one will secure the green light first?

Market Dates

  • Market Period: From the publication date through December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT
  • Market Closing: December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT
  • Resolution Deadline: The market will resolve after the closing date or earlier if the outcome is determined during the market period

Resolution Criteria:

The market resolves to:

  • “XRP” if the SEC officially approves an XRP ETF for issuance in the U.S. before approving a Litecoin ETF.
  • “Litecoin” if the SEC officially approves a Litecoin ETF for issuance in the U.S. before approving an XRP ETF.
  • Approval is defined as formal authorization granted by the U.S. SEC. The ETF does not need to begin trading.

Cancellation Conditions:

The market will be canceled/voided if:

  • The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods
  • Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively
  • Neither of the two options receives an ETF approval during the market period
  • Both ETFs are approved at the same time within the same SEC approval

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.


Resolution Source
SEC

Timeline

Market published
Jun 18, 2025, 2:24 pm UTC
Market closed
Jan 1, 2026, 4:59 am UTC
Resolved
XRP
0/500

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Outcome
XRP