BoredElonMusk thinks ZORA will flip PUMP in Market Cap, within the next 120 days. Do you agree?

Market Dates

• Market Period: From the market’s publication until February 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
• Market Close: February 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
• Resolution Time: February 18, 2026, at 12:28 AM UTC, 120 days after @BoredElonMusk’s X post.

Resolution Criteria

• Resolves to “Yes” if, at any point before or at Resolution Time, ZORA/USD Market Cap surpasses PUMP/USD Market Cap.
• Resolves to “No” otherwise.

Market Cap values will be compared using real-time data from GeckoTerminal, referencing the liquidity pool pages for each token on their respective chains:

• ZORA: Base chain pool: https://www.geckoterminal.com/base/pools/0xedc625b74537ee3a10874f53d170e9c17a906b9c?utm_campaign=livechart-btn&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=coingecko
• PUMP: Solana pool: https://www.geckoterminal.com/solana/pools/2uF4Xh61rDwxnG9woyxsVQP7zuA6kLFpb3NvnRQeoiSd

In case the resolution source currently used for resolution becomes unreliable, unavailable, or experiences major changes, it may be changed to the next DexScreener or Geckoterminal pool with the highest liquidity at the time.

Resolution Details

The comparison will be made using the Market Cap (MCAP) metric as displayed on GeckoTerminal at the time of observation, specifically:

• 1-minute timeframe ("1m").
• “MCAP” View.
• "Close" MCAP.

Only the MCAP of PUMP/USD and ZORA/USD as quoted by GeckoTerminal (spot market) will be considered.

Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions

This market will be cancelled if:

• Either ZORA or PUMP Market Cap cannot be reliably tracked before or at Resolution Time.
• Either project is delisted, deleted, or lacks consistent price data.
• GeckoTerminal (or equivalent backup sources) becomes unreliable or unavailable.
• A major contract change, rebranding, or token migration prevents comparable Market Cap measurement.

If cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their open positions, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on share prices at cancellation.