Will Trump Coin Pump After 40 Million Tokens Are Unlocked? thumbnail

Will Trump Coin Pump After 40 Million Tokens Are Unlocked?

$12K
Apr 18, 2025
Yes 100% chance
Yes100.0%
No0.0%

Rules

Trump Coin is set to unlock an estimated 40 million tokens on April 18. According to Tokenomist, this represents one of the largest token unlocks in the project's history, followed by daily unlocks of approximately $4 million worth of TRUMP. How will this first unlock impact the price of the president's own official cryptocurrency?

Market Details

  • Market Closing: The market closes on April 17, 2025, at 11:59pm EDT, before the expected token unlock.
  • Resolution Time: The outcome will be determined on April 18, 2025, at 11:59pm EDT.
  • Price Comparison: The closing price at market end (April 17) will be compared to the price at resolution time (April 18).

Resolution

The market resolves based on the TRUMP/USDT price on Binance spot market, comparing:

  • The closing price at market end (April 17, 2025, 11:59pm EDT)
  • The price at resolution time (April 18, 2025, 11:59pm EDT)

Yes/No Criteria

  • Resolves to "Yes" if the TRUMP/USDT price at resolution time is strictly above its price at market closing
  • Resolves to "No" if the TRUMP/USDT price at resolution time is equal to or below its price at market closing

Resolution Source

The Binance TRUMP/USDT spot price will be used, specifically the 1-minute candle at market's closing price and resolution time, viewed on:

  1. 1 minute timeframe ("1m")
  2. "Original" view
  3. "Close" price

Only the price of TRUMP/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.

Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions

This market will be canceled/invalid if:

  • The token unlock event doesn't occur on April 18 as expected
  • The Binance page (or an equivalent source) is not available at the resolution time
  • The TRUMP/USDT spot market is not available on Binance at the resolution time
  • Any other circumstance renders resolution impossible or unreliable based on the designated resolution source

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.


Resolution Source
Binance

Timeline

Market published
Apr 15, 2025, 3:04 pm UTC
Market closed
Apr 18, 2025, 3:59 am UTC
Resolved
Yes
0/500

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Outcome
Yes