Market Details:

• Market Period: From publication through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
• Market Close: June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
• Resolution Time: After June 30, 2026, once sufficient information is available.

Resolution Criteria:

Each outcome resolves independently as “Yes” if, by the deadline, Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the U.S. government definitively agrees to the respective Iranian demand.

A qualifying agreement may be made through:

• A public official announcement by Trump or another authorized U.S. government representative.
• A treaty, deal, memorandum, or formal agreement between the United States and Iran.

Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, draft proposals, or non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Outcome Criteria:

• Enrichment of uranium: Resolves “Yes” if the U.S. agrees to Iran continuing to enrich uranium, or to Iran having the right to enrich any quantity of uranium for any future period.
• Oil sanction relief: Resolves “Yes” if the U.S. agrees to remove, suspend, waive, or reduce sanctions restricting Iranian oil exports.
• Transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz: Resolves “Yes” if the U.S. agrees to Iran charging tolls, transit fees, passage charges, or other mandatory payments on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
• Unfreeze Iranian assets: Resolves “Yes” if the U.S. agrees to release, transfer, restore access to, or otherwise unfreeze any Iranian assets blocked due to U.S. sanctions or restrictions.
• Troop withdrawal: Resolves “Yes” if the U.S. agrees to materially reduce U.S. military personnel stationed or deployed in the Middle East, Persian Gulf, or countries neighboring or proximate to Iran, as part of a deliberate reduction in U.S. military presence near Iran.

Resolution Sources:

• The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and authorized U.S. representatives.
• A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of any announcement or formal agreement.

Cancellation Conditions:

• Reliable confirmation cannot be established through the resolution sources.
• The listed resolution sources become unavailable, unreliable, or experience major disruptions.
• Any circumstance prevents verifying whether the United States agreed to the specified Iranian demand.
• The terms of an agreement are not publicly disclosed with sufficient detail to determine whether a listed demand was accepted.
• Conflicting official statements or reporting make it impossible to determine whether the outcome occurred.
• Myriad Markets undergoes a major technical or contractual change requiring cancellation of active markets.

If cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation.