Rules
Christopher Nolan's adaptation of Homer's "The Odyssey" opens in theaters July 17, 2026. How much will the film gross domestically during its 3-day opening weekend?
Market Dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM EDT.
- Market Closing: July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM EDT.
- Resolution Deadline: The outcome will be determined once official, final (non-estimated) box office figures for the 3-day opening weekend (July 17–19) are reported.
Resolution Criteria:
- The market resolves based on "The Odyssey"'s 3-day opening weekend domestic box office revenue, using the "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab of the film's page on The Numbers, once those figures are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- The 3-day weekend figure used is the one reported by The Numbers under "Weekend Box Office Performance," which typically includes Thursday preview grosses — this applies regardless of whether "domestic" refers to the US only, or to the US and Canada combined.
- Each outcome represents a non-overlapping revenue range.
- The winning outcome is the range that contains the final revenue figure.
- If the reported figure falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market resolves to the higher-range bracket.
Resolution Details:
- The market resolves based on the 3-day opening weekend domestic box office figures reported by The Numbers (the-numbers.com). If there is ambiguity as to whether the reported figures are final, the market will remain open until both Box Office Mojo (boxofficemojo.com) and The Numbers have confirmed their finalized figures. If no final data is available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Cancellation Conditions:
- The film's theatrical release is canceled or postponed.
- Official box office data becomes unavailable or unreliable.
- The film receives a direct-to-streaming release instead of a theatrical release.
In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
Timeline
Market published
Jul 9, 2026, 3:40 pm UTC
Market closes
Aug 1, 2026, 3:59 am UTC
Resolution
The outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.
