The GENIUS Act (S.1582), a major piece of stablecoin legislation, has passed the Senate and is now awaiting House consideration. Will this groundbreaking crypto regulation bill become law by the mid August?

Market Dates:

• Closing date: August 14, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT
• Market Period: From market publication until August 14, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT
• Resolution time: After market closing or earlier if the outcome is determined.

Resolution

• Resolution will be based on official information from Congress.gov's legislation tracker and other U.S. government sources.
• News outlets such as AP News, Reuters, or the Financial Times reporting official statements on the GENIUS bill status may be used as secondary resolution sources if the primary source is unclear or unavailable.

Yes/No Criteria

• Resolves to "Yes" if the GENIUS Act is passed by both chambers of Congress AND signed into law by August 14, 2025, at 11:59 PM EST.
• Resolves to "No" if the bill fails to meet any of these criteria by the deadline.

Cancellation Conditions

The market will be canceled if:

• The bill is withdrawn or substantially amended to change its core purpose
• Legislative tracking becomes impossible due to government shutdown or technical issues
• Official resolution sources become permanently unavailable