No 100% chance100% chance
Yes0.0%
No100.0%
Rules
Market Dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through November 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Market Close: November 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after November 29, 2025 at 11:59 PM UTC, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
Notice: The Market Dates were adjusted to reflect the correct time as per the contract.
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves to "Yes" if the SEC officially approves the Canary Pengu ETF.
- Resolves to “No” if not.
Resolution Details:
- A “Yes” resolution can only be achieved by the SEC approving the following ETF: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2059693/000199937125002883/canarypengu-s1_032025.htm
- No other ETFs are subject to this market.
Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:
This market will be canceled/voided if:
- The resolution source is unavailable or compromised.
- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable determination of the outcome.
In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
Timeline
Market published
Nov 3, 2025, 10:15 pm UTC
Market closed
Nov 29, 2025, 11:59 pm UTC
Resolved
No
