After his dramatic victory in the 2024 Tour, Tadej Pogačar returns as the favorite for the 2025 Tour de France. Will the Slovenian champion secure his third yellow jersey in Paris?

Market dates:

• Market period: From time of publication to July 25, 2025 06:00 CEST
• Closing date: July 25, 2025 06:00 CEST (before Stage 19)
• Resolution deadline: July 28, 2025 12:00 CEST, or earlier once official results are published

Resolution Criteria

Resolves to "Yes" if:

• Pogačar officially wins the 2025 Tour de France General Classification
• Is declared the overall winner in Paris

Resolves to "No" if:

• Another rider wins the General Classification
• Pogačar withdraws from the race
• Pogačar finishes but not in first place overall
• Pogačar is disqualified or penalized, losing the overall lead

Resolution Source

Official Tour de France channels:

• Tour de France official website (letour.fr)
• Official Tour de France social media accounts
• Official race communiqués

Important Resolution Notes:

• Only the final General Classification matters
• Leading the race at market close doesn't guarantee a "Yes" resolution
• Post-race disqualifications or penalties that affect the winner will be honored up until the resolution deadline
• Stage wins alone do NOT count towards resolution

Cancellation Conditions

Market cancels if:

• The Tour de France 2025 is canceled
• The race format is fundamentally changed
• Force majeure prevents completion of the race
• Results cannot be officially verified

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.