How much will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" gross in revenue in its opening weekend?
$0Sep 1, 2026
Rules
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" swings into theaters July 31, 2026. How much will the film gross domestically during its 3-day opening weekend?
Market Dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM EDT.
- Market Closing: August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM EDT.
- Resolution Deadline: The outcome will be determined once official, final (non-estimated) box office figures for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 – August 2) are reported.
Resolution Criteria:
- The market resolves based on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s 3-day opening weekend domestic box office revenue, using the "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab of the film's page on The Numbers, once those figures are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- The 3-day weekend figure used is the one reported by The Numbers under "Weekend Box Office Performance," which can typically include Thursday preview grosses — this applies regardless of whether "domestic" refers to the US only, or to the US and Canada combined.
- Each outcome represents a non-overlapping revenue range.
- The winning outcome is the range that contains the final revenue figure.
- If the reported figure falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market resolves to the higher-range bracket.
Resolution Details:
- The market resolves based on the 3-day opening weekend domestic box office figures reported by The Numbers (the-numbers.com). If there is ambiguity as to whether the reported figures are final, the market will remain open until both Box Office Mojo (boxofficemojo.com) and The Numbers have confirmed their finalized figures. If no final data is available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Cancellation Conditions:
- The film's theatrical release is canceled or postponed.
- Official box office data becomes unavailable or unreliable.
- The film receives a direct-to-streaming release instead of a theatrical release.
In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
Timeline
Market published
Jul 9, 2026, 3:40 pm UTC
Market closes
Sep 1, 2026, 3:59 am UTC
Resolution
The outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.
