Will Roman Storm be found guilty? thumbnail

Will Roman Storm be found guilty?

$2.96K
Jul 31, 2025
Flash Market
YES 100% chance
YES100.0%
NO0.0%

Rules

Roman Storm of Tornado Cash has been standing trial in New York, following allegations of conspiracy to commit money laundering, operating an unlicensed money transmitter business, and evading U.S. sanctions. Will he be convicted on any number of charges as part of his trial?

Market Dates:

  • Market Period: From the publication date until July 31, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC
  • Market Close: July 31, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC
  • Resolution Time: The resolution will be determined after the trial has ended and at least one resolution source has provided the outcome

Resolution Criteria:

  • Resolves to “Yes” if Roman Storm is found guilty on any number of charges as part of his ongoing New York trial
  • Resolves to “No” if not

Resolution Details:

Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:

This market will be canceled/invalid if:

  • None of the resolution sources provide an outcome
  • Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively
  • The trial ends in a mistrial for any reason

In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.


Resolution Source
Decrypt

Timeline

Market published
Jul 30, 2025, 2:59 pm UTC
Market closed
Jul 31, 2025, 12:00 pm UTC
Resolved
YES
0/500

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Outcome
YES