Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning is set to release ahead of Memorial Day. Will the film achieve or exceed $95M in domestic box office revenue during the Memorial Four Day Weekend?

Market dates

• Market Period: The market focuses on the Memorial Four Day Weekend box office revenue (Friday May 23 through Monday May 26, 2025)
• Market Closing: May 22, 2025 at 23:59 EDT before the box office weekend count starts
• Resolution Deadline: The outcome will be determined based on official box office data reported by Box Office Mojo by May 27, 2025 at 11:59pm EDT

Resolution Criteria

• The market resolves to "Yes" if Mission: Impossible 8's 4-day opening weekend domestic box office revenue is greater than or equal to $95,000,000
• The market resolves to "No" if Mission: Impossible 8's 4-day opening weekend domestic box office revenue is less than $95,000,000

Resolution

The market resolves based on the Memorial Four Day Weekend domestic box office revenue as reported by Box Office Mojo.

Cancellation Conditions

This market will be canceled if:

• The film's theatrical release is canceled or postponed
• Official box office data becomes unavailable or unreliable
• The film receives a direct-to-streaming release instead of a theatrical release

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.