What will Kevin Warsh say during June’s FOMC press conference? thumbnail

What will Kevin Warsh say during June’s FOMC press conference?

$626
Jun 18, 2026
Good Afternoon
$317 Vol.
81%3%
Jerome/Powell
$0 Vol.
77%13%
Artificial Intelligence/AI
$90.9 Vol.
70%6%
Depression/Recession
$12.8 Vol.
45%0%
Trump
$100 Vol.
20%5%
Crypto/Bitcoin
$105 Vol.
11%0%

Rules

Market Dates:

  • Market Period: From the publication date through June 17, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
  • Market Close: June 17, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
  • Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the outcome is announced.

Resolution Criteria:

  • Resolves to “Yes” if FED Chair Kevin Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve individually for each outcome.

Resolution Details:

  • This market pertains to the scheduled FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET by Kevin Warsh. His Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session, are subject to this market.
  • Any usage of a word listed as an outcome regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
  • Clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos being aired where Warsh is speaking, are subject to this market's resolution.
  • Plural and possessive forms of the word will count toward this market’s resolution; other variations will not.
  • If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be video as well as transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Cancelation Conditions:

  • The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period.

If cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on their open positions.


Resolution Source
FED

Timeline

Market published
Jun 12, 2026, 3:06 pm UTC
Market closes
Jun 18, 2026, 3:59 am UTC
Resolution
The outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.
0/500

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