Will Elon Musk publish more than 185 posts between April 11, 2025, 12:00pm EDT, and April 18, 2025, 12:00pm EDT?

Market Details

• Market Closing: April 17, 2025, at 12:00pm EDT, 24 hours before resolution time
• Measurement Period: April 11, 2025, 12:00pm EDT to April 18, 2025, 12:00pm EDT
• Resolution Time: April 18, 2025, 1:00pm EDT, after the counting period is completed

Yes/ No Criteria:

• The market resolves to "Yes" if Elon Musk's X post count exceeds 185.
• The market resolves to "No" if his X post count is 185 or fewer.

Post Counting Rules

• Included: Main feed posts, quotes, and reposts
• Not Included: Replies (unless they appear on the main feed)
• Deleted Posts: Count if they remained visible long enough to be registered by XTracker

Resolution

The market will be resolved primarily using XTracker's "Post Counter" value. Individual posts can be verified through XTracker's "Export Data" feature. If XTracker data is unavailable or incomplete, X platform data may be used as a backup source.

Cancellation Conditions

The market will be canceled if:

• Neither XTracker nor X can provide verifiable post count data
• Technical issues prevent accurate tracking during the specified period
• Major platform changes affect post counting methodology.

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.