Will Donald Trump publicly give Elon Musk a nickname by end of July?  thumbnail

Will Donald Trump publicly give Elon Musk a nickname by end of July?

471M pts
Aug 1, 2025
No 100% chance
Yes0.0%
No100.0%

Rules

The ongoing public feud between Donald Trump and Elon Musk has intensified through social media exchanges. Given Trump's well-known tendency to create nicknames for his rivals, will he coin and establish one for Musk by the end of July?

Market dates:

  • Market Period: From publication through July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT
  • Resolution Deadline: Resolution will occur after market closing, or earlier if a clear outcome is reached

Resolution Criteria

For a nickname to be considered officially given to Musk, it must meet the following conditions:

  • Usage Pattern: The nickname must be:
    • Used at least twice by Trump
    • Both instances must occur within the market period
  • Qualifying Format: The nickname must include either:
    • A descriptive word attached to Musk's name (e.g., "Mediocre Musk")
    • Modified version of his name for humorous effect (e.g., "Elon Musky")
    • A standalone nickname clearly referring to Musk (e.g., "Space Boy")
  • Context Requirements:
    • The nickname must be clearly directed at Elon Musk
    • References must be unambiguous and in context
    • Quotes or repetitions by others don't count
    • Edited or deleted posts will still count if properly documented

Resolution Sources

  • Primary: Posts from his Truth Social account and unaltered video footage of Trump
  • Secondary: Posts from his other verified personal social media accounts such as Trump’s X account.

Cancellation Conditions:

The market will be canceled/voided if:

  • All of Trump's social media accounts become inaccessible during the market period
  • Major platform changes prevent verification of Trump's statements
  • Technical issues make accurate resolution impossible

Timeline

Market published
Jun 18, 2025, 1:24 pm UTC
Market closed
Aug 1, 2025, 3:59 am UTC
Resolved
No
0/500

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Outcome
No