Rules
The ongoing public feud between Donald Trump and Elon Musk has intensified through social media exchanges. Given Trump's well-known tendency to create nicknames for his rivals, will he coin and establish one for Musk by the end of July?
Market dates:
- Market Period: From publication through July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT
- Resolution Deadline: Resolution will occur after market closing, or earlier if a clear outcome is reached
Resolution Criteria
For a nickname to be considered officially given to Musk, it must meet the following conditions:
- Usage Pattern: The nickname must be:
- Used at least twice by Trump
- Both instances must occur within the market period
- Qualifying Format: The nickname must include either:
- A descriptive word attached to Musk's name (e.g., "Mediocre Musk")
- Modified version of his name for humorous effect (e.g., "Elon Musky")
- A standalone nickname clearly referring to Musk (e.g., "Space Boy")
- Context Requirements:
- The nickname must be clearly directed at Elon Musk
- References must be unambiguous and in context
- Quotes or repetitions by others don't count
- Edited or deleted posts will still count if properly documented
Resolution Sources
- Primary: Posts from his Truth Social account and unaltered video footage of Trump
- Secondary: Posts from his other verified personal social media accounts such as Trump’s X account.
Cancellation Conditions:
The market will be canceled/voided if:
- All of Trump's social media accounts become inaccessible during the market period
- Major platform changes prevent verification of Trump's statements
- Technical issues make accurate resolution impossible
