Will Donald Trump meet with the Pope in 2025?
Rules
The first American Pope has been openly critical about President Trump. Will he still meet with the 47th President of the United States of America in 2025?
Market dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC
- Market Close: December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC
- Resolution Time: The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached
Resolution criteria:
- Resolves to “Yes” if Donald Trump meets Pope Leo XIV in 2025
- Resolves to “No” if no such meeting occurs
Resolution details:
- A meeting is characterized as any in-person interaction where both Donald Trump and Pope Leo XIV are present and engage with each other
- The White House website will be the primary resolution source for this market
- In case the primary resolution source doesn’t report on a potential meeting, these secondary resolution sources can also be used: the White House official social media accounts, Donald Trump’s official social media accounts, Pope Leo XIV’s official social media accounts, the Presidents public schedule, or verifiable video footage of the event
Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions
This market will be canceled/invalid if:
- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period
- The official White House channels are suspended, become unreliable or experience significant disruptions during the Market Period
- If Pope Leo XIV or Donald Trump are no longer in their positions for any reason
In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
