Will Brian Armstrong appear in the first episode of UpOnly? thumbnail

Will Brian Armstrong appear in the first episode of UpOnly?

$4.27K
Open until resolution
No 53.8% chance
Yes46.2%
No53.8%

Rules

Market Dates:

  • Market Period: Upon market publication until the first episode of Up Only is announced to be released.
  • Market Close: Before the first episode of Up Only is released.
  • Resolution Time: The outcome will be determined after the first episode of Up Only has aired.

Market Period and Market Close will be adapted once the official time of release for the first episode of the Up Only podcast has been announced.

Resolution Criteria:

  • Resolves to “Yes” if Brian Armstrong appears in video, physical, or audio form in the first episode of the next season of the “Up Only” podcast.
  • Resolves to “No” if Brian Armstrong doesn’t appear.

Resolution Details:

  • An announcement that Brian Armstrong is set to appear on the episode alone is not enough to trigger a “Yes” resolution.
  • The official first episode of the “UpOnly” podcast by Cobie and Ledger will be used as the resolution source.
  • Any appearance of Brian Armstrong must be verifiably him. An impersonator, for example, would not resolve “Yes.”
  • In case the “Up Only” podcast by Cobie and Ledger is renamed, this market will consider the newly named podcast equally and will resolve accordingly.

Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:

This market will be cancelled if:

  • The Up Only podcast is cancelled before the first episode launched.
  • Any extraordinary event prevents a verifiable determination of the outcome.

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This may result in a profit or loss depending on share prices.


Resolution Source
Up Only

Timeline

Market published
Nov 25, 2025, 2:46 pm UTC
Market closes
Only when an outcome is reached.
Resolution
The outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.
0/500

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