Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
$160KDec 30, 2025
No 100% chance100% chance
Yes0.0%
No100.0%
Rules
- Market Period: from the market publication until December 30, 2025 at 11:59PM UTC
- Market Close: December 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC, before the final trading day of 2025.
- Resolution Time: The outcome will be determined once both assets' yearly performance data is finalized on TradingView.
Resolution
- This market tracks the relative performance of BTC/USDT vs XAU/USD throughout 2025.
- Performance will be measured using TradingView's "12M" candle data dated "01 Jan '25" for:
- BTC/USDT (Binance): https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT
- XAU/USD (OANDA): https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD
- The percentage change values displayed at the top of each chart will be compared.
Yes/No Criteria
- Resolves to "Yes" if BTC/USDT's percentage change for 2025 is higher than XAU/USD's percentage change.
- Resolves to "No" if BTC/USDT's percentage change for 2025 is equal to or lower than XAU/USD's percentage change.
Cancellation Conditions
This market will be canceled if:
- TradingView data becomes unavailable or unreliable
- Either trading pair is delisted or experiences significant market disruption
- Major changes in either asset's structure or trading conditions make the comparison invalid
If the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.
Timeline
Market published
Sep 5, 2025, 6:53 pm UTC
Market closed
Dec 30, 2025, 11:59 pm UTC
Resolved
No
