Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? thumbnail

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

$160K
Dec 30, 2025
No 100% chance
Yes0.0%
No100.0%

Rules

  • Market Period: from the market publication until December 30, 2025 at 11:59PM UTC
  • Market Close: December 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC, before the final trading day of 2025.
  • Resolution Time: The outcome will be determined once both assets' yearly performance data is finalized on TradingView.

Resolution

  • This market tracks the relative performance of BTC/USDT vs XAU/USD throughout 2025.
  • Performance will be measured using TradingView's "12M" candle data dated "01 Jan '25" for:
  1. BTC/USDT (Binance): https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT

Yes/No Criteria

  • Resolves to "Yes" if BTC/USDT's percentage change for 2025 is higher than XAU/USD's percentage change.
  • Resolves to "No" if BTC/USDT's percentage change for 2025 is equal to or lower than XAU/USD's percentage change.

Cancellation Conditions

This market will be canceled if:

  • TradingView data becomes unavailable or unreliable
  • Either trading pair is delisted or experiences significant market disruption
  • Major changes in either asset's structure or trading conditions make the comparison invalid

If the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.


Resolution Source
TradingView

Timeline

Market published
Sep 5, 2025, 6:53 pm UTC
Market closed
Dec 30, 2025, 11:59 pm UTC
Resolved
No
0/500

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Outcome
No