Nestlé confirmed that 12 tons of KitKat bars were stolen during transit from Italy to Poland in late March 2026. This market tracks whether any of the stolen shipment is physically recovered before the end of April.

Market Dates:

• Market Period: From market publication until April 30, 2026 at 11:59PM UTC
• Market Close: April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
• Resolution Time: After Market Close of before during the Market Period if an outcome is reached.

Resolution Criteria:

• The market resolves to “Yes” if any KitKat bar from the shipment stolen in late March 2026 is physically recovered by Nestlé, a Nestlé affiliate, or a relevant government or law enforcement authority by Market Close.
• The market resolves to “No” if no stolen KitKat bar is physically recovered by Market Close.

Resolution Details:

• A qualifying recovery requires physical control of any stolen KitKat bars by Nestlé, a Nestlé affiliate, or a relevant authority.
• Confirmation of location without physical recovery does not qualify.
• The recovery of any quantity, including a single bar, is sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
• Only recoveries occurring on or before market close count.
• This market applies only to the KitKat shipment stolen during transit from central Italy to Poland, as confirmed by Nestlé.

Resolution Source:

• Official statements from Nestlé or KitKat through their official communication and social channels.
• Official updates from relevant government or law enforcement authorities.
• A consensus media reporting Reuters, Bloomberg or APNews and Guardian confirming recovery status can also serve for resolution.

Cancellation Conditions:

• The market may be cancelled if the outcome cannot be determined with certainty from reliable sources.
• The market premise is shown to be materially inaccurate or invalid.
• Conflicting reports prevent a conclusive resolution.

If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.