Andrew Cuomo is stirring speculation that he will run in the New York City Mayoral election, just not as a Democrat. With the 2025 general election approaching, will he officially declare a run in a Mayoral General Election under a different banner?

Market dates:

• Market Closing: August 15, 2025, 11:59 PM EST
• Resolution Deadline: August 16, 2025, 12PM EST or earlier if the outcome is determined during the market period.

Yes/No Criteria

• This market resolves to “Yes” if Andrew Cuomo publicly announces a campaign in any 2025 Mayoral General Election (including as an Independent or a third-party candidate) during the market period
• Resolves to “No” if no such announcement is made by the market closing date
• Any announcements after market close will not count for resolution

Resolution Details

• This market will be resolved based on official announcements made by Andrew Cuomo via:
  • His official website,
  • Verified social media accounts, or
  • Public statements reported by credible outlets
• An official announcement—either on Cuomo’s verified social media, official website, or via a credible press release—is sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether he ultimately remains in the race or appears on the ballot
• The primary resolution source is Cuomo’s official press page and social media. If there’s ambiguity, verified press coverage may be used to confirm intent

Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions

This market will be canceled if:

1. The 2025 general election is canceled or significantly delayed
2. A substantial ambiguity arises regarding the intent or authenticity of the announcement

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.