Will a top-5 exchange be identified as the business investigated by ZachXBT? thumbnail

Will a top-5 exchange be identified as the business investigated by ZachXBT?

$17.9K
Feb 25, 2026
No 100% chance
Yes0.0%
No100.0%

Rules

On February 23, 2026, ZachXBT stated in an X post that he will publish a major investigation on February 26, 2026, alleging insider trading by members of one of crypto’s most profitable businesses.

Market Dates:

  • Market Period: From the publication date until February 25, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
  • Market Close: February 25, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
  • Resolution Time: Upon publication of the promised investigation by ZachXBT on his X account identifying the business, or as soon as the business is identified.

Resolution Criteria:

  • For the purposes of this market, the Top 5 exchanges are those ranked by spot trading volume on CoinMarketCap as of February 23, 2026: Binance, Coinbase, Upbit, OKX, or Bybit.
  • Resolves to “Yes” if ZachXBT explicitly names one of the exchanges listed above as the business under investigation.
  • References to subsidiaries, affiliated entities, regional entities, or widely recognized brand variations of the listed exchanges will be considered identification of that exchange.
  • Resolves to “No” if the identified business is not one of the listed exchanges.
  • The exchange must be explicitly named or unmistakably identified

Resolution Details:

  • The only resolution source will be posts, threads, or official statements published by ZachXBT on his verified X account (https://x.com/zachxbt), including linked materials directly referenced by him regarding the February 26, 2026 investigation.

Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:

This market will be canceled/invalid if:

  • The investigation is not published by March 15, 2026.
  • The resolution source becomes unavailable, deleted, or materially altered.
  • The identified business cannot be reliably determined from the published investigation.
  • Myriad Markets undergoes a contract change requiring cancellation of active markets.

If canceled, participants may claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their positions, which may result in a profit or loss depending on share price at cancellation.


Resolution Source
ZachXBT X account

Timeline

Market published
Feb 23, 2026, 6:53 pm UTC
Market closed
Feb 25, 2026, 11:59 pm UTC
Resolved
No
0/500

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Outcome
No