Where will BTC dominance hit Next: 70% or 58%? thumbnail

Where will BTC dominance hit Next: 70% or 58%?

$46.5K
Jan 1, 2026
58% 100% chance
70%0.0%
58%100.0%

Rules

Market dates:

  • Market Period: From the publication date through December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT
  • Market Closing: December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT
  • Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after market closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached

Resolution criteria:

Resolves to "70%" if the Bitcoin Market Cap Dominance reaches 70.00% or above

Resolves to "58%" if the Bitcoin Market Cap Dominance drops to 58.00% or below

Resolution details:

  • The TradingView “Market Cap BTC Dominance, %” chart will be used—specifically the 1-minute chart—to determine whether Bitcoin’s market cap dominance reached 58.00% or lower, or 70.00% or higher, at any point during the market period
  • Only the Market Cap BTC Dominance in % as quoted by TradingView will be considered

Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions

This market will be canceled/invalid if:

  • The Market Cap BTC Dominance in % on Tradingview doesn’t reach either of the two options by market close
  • The Market Cap BTC Dominance chart in % on Tradingview is suspended or becomes unreliable
  • The Market Cap BTC Dominance chart in % is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period
  • Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.


Resolution Source
Trading View

Timeline

Market published
Jun 18, 2025, 3:17 pm UTC
Market closed
Jan 1, 2026, 3:59 am UTC
Resolved
58%
0/500

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Outcome
58%