Will the Federal Reserve (FED) cut, hike, or leave interest rates untouched at its scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 17?

Market dates:

• Market Period: From the publication date through September 17, 2025, at 6:00 PM UTC
• Market Close: September 17, 2025, at 6:00 PM UTC, when the FED is expected to announce its decision
• Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached

Resolution criteria:

• Resolves to the category into which the FED decision falls. For example, if the FED decides to keep rates the same, this market will resolve to “No change.”

Resolution details:

• This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 16-17, 2025
• An emergency rate lowering or hiking would also trigger a resolution if it occurs during the Market Period

Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions

This market will be canceled/invalid if:

• The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the market period
• Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period
• The FED meeting scheduled for September 16-17, 2025 is canceled or postponed indefinitely