What will the FED’s interest rate decision be in October?
2.57B ptsOct 29, 2025
25bps decrease100.0%
No change0.0%
50bps+ decrease0.0%
25bps+ increase0.0%
Rules
Market Dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through October 29, 2025, at 7:00 PM UTC.
- Market Close: October 29, 2025, at 7:00 PM UTC.
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the outcome is announced.
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves to the category into which the FED decision falls. For example, if the FED decides to keep rates the same, this market will resolve to “No change.”
Resolution details:
- This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 28-29, 2025.
- An emergency rate lowering or hiking would also trigger a resolution if it occurs during the Market Period.
Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:
This market will be canceled/invalid if:
- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or experiences significant disruptions during the market period.
- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period.
- The FED meeting scheduled for September 16-17, 2025 is canceled or postponed indefinitely.
Timeline
Market published
Sep 18, 2025, 5:21 pm UTC
Market closed
Oct 29, 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
Resolved
25bps decrease
