What will the FED’s interest rate decision be in October? thumbnail

What will the FED’s interest rate decision be in October?

2.57B pts
Oct 29, 2025
25bps decrease100.0%
No change0.0%
50bps+ decrease0.0%
25bps+ increase0.0%

Rules

Market Dates:

  • Market Period: From the publication date through October 29, 2025, at 7:00 PM UTC.
  • Market Close: October 29, 2025, at 7:00 PM UTC.
  • Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the outcome is announced.

Resolution Criteria:

  • Resolves to the category into which the FED decision falls. For example, if the FED decides to keep rates the same, this market will resolve to “No change.”

Resolution details:

  • This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 28-29, 2025.
  • An emergency rate lowering or hiking would also trigger a resolution if it occurs during the Market Period.

Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:

This market will be canceled/invalid if:

  • The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or experiences significant disruptions during the market period.
  • Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period.
  • The FED meeting scheduled for September 16-17, 2025 is canceled or postponed indefinitely.

Resolution Source
FED

Timeline

Market published
Sep 18, 2025, 5:21 pm UTC
Market closed
Oct 29, 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
Resolved
25bps decrease
0/500

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Outcome
25bps decrease