What will the FED’s interest rate decision be in July? thumbnail

What will the FED’s interest rate decision be in July?

1.36B pts
Jul 30, 2025
No change100.0%
25bps decrease0.0%
50bps+ decrease0.0%
25bps+ increase0.0%

Rules

Will the FED cut, hike, or leave interest rates in touched in July?

Market dates:

  • Market Period: From the publication date through July 30, 2025, at 06:00 PM UTC
  • Market Closing: July 30, 2025, at 06:00 PM UTC
  • Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the Market Closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached

Resolution criteria:

  • Resolves to the category which the FED decision falls into. For example, if the FED decides to keep rates the same, this market will resolve to “No change”.

Resolution details:

  • This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 29 - 30, 2025
  • An emergency rate lowering or hiking would also trigger a resolution if it occurs during the Market Period

Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions

This market will be canceled/invalid if:

  • The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period
  • Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period
  • The FED meeting scheduled for July 29 - 30, 2025 is canceled or postponed indefinitely

Resolution Source
Federal Reserve

Timeline

Market published
Jul 4, 2025, 10:32 am UTC
Market closed
Jul 30, 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
Resolved
No change
0/500

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Outcome
No change