What will the FED’s interest rate decision be in July?
1.36B ptsJul 30, 2025
No change100.0%
25bps decrease0.0%
50bps+ decrease0.0%
25bps+ increase0.0%
Rules
Will the FED cut, hike, or leave interest rates in touched in July?
Market dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through July 30, 2025, at 06:00 PM UTC
- Market Closing: July 30, 2025, at 06:00 PM UTC
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the Market Closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached
Resolution criteria:
- Resolves to the category which the FED decision falls into. For example, if the FED decides to keep rates the same, this market will resolve to “No change”.
Resolution details:
- This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 29 - 30, 2025
- An emergency rate lowering or hiking would also trigger a resolution if it occurs during the Market Period
Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions
This market will be canceled/invalid if:
- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period
- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period
- The FED meeting scheduled for July 29 - 30, 2025 is canceled or postponed indefinitely
Timeline
Market published
Jul 4, 2025, 10:32 am UTC
Market closed
Jul 30, 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
Resolved
No change
