BTC 100% chance100% chance
ETH0.0%
BTC100.0%
Rules
Market Dates
- Market Period: From market publication until October 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Observation Period: This market observes the 31 consecutive 1-day BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT candles from October 1, 2025, through October 31, 2025.
- Market Close: The market closes on October 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC, two days before the Resolution Time.
- Resolution Time: The market resolves once the Observation Period ends — when the October 31st daily candle is fully closed, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves to “ETH” if Ethereum records more green daily candles (closing price > opening price) than Bitcoin during the Observation Period.
- Resolves to “BTC” if Bitcoin records more green daily candles (closing price > opening price) than Ethereum during the Observation Period.
- Neutral candles (closing price = opening price) do not count toward the total.
Tie-Breaker:
- If the count is exactly even, the market will resolve in favor of the token — BTC or ETH — with the greater price difference between its opening (O) and closing (C) prices on the October monthly candle (1M).
- If Ethereum shows a larger O→C delta, it resolves to “ETH”
- Otherwise, it resolves to “BTC”
Resolution Details
The outcome will be determined using Binance spot charts, specifically:
- ETH: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot
- BTC: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot
- “TradingView” chart
- 1-Day timeframe (“1D”) for the 31 observed candles
- 1-Month timeframe (”1M”) in the event of a tie
Cancellation Conditions
This market will be canceled if:
- The Binance platform is unavailable at the Resolution Time.
- Either BTC/USDT or ETH/USDT spot market is suspended or inaccessible.
- Technical issues prevent reliable access to price data.
- Any condition makes it impossible to determine the outcome based on the specified criteria.
In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation, which could result in either a profit or a loss depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
Timeline
Market published
Oct 1, 2025, 3:26 pm UTC
Market closed
Oct 29, 2025, 11:59 pm UTC
Resolved
BTC
