Strategy’s mNAV next move: Pump to 1.5x or Dump to 0.85x? thumbnail

Strategy’s mNAV next move: Pump to 1.5x or Dump to 0.85x?

$45.4K
Open until resolution
0.85x 100% chance
1.5x0.0%
0.85x100.0%

Rules

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Market Details:

  • Market Close: This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.
  • Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.
  • Pump Target: 1.5x
  • Dump Target: 0.85x

Resolution Criteria:

  • The market resolves based on which condition is met first:
    • “1.5x” if the mNAV Analysis reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.
    • “0.85x” if the mNAV Analysis drops to equal or below the Dump Target.

Resolution Details:

  • The market resolves solely based on the Bitcoin Strategy Tracker’s mNAV Analysis Chart of Effective Diluted Shares.
  • Only the daily snapshots shown in this chart will be used for resolution. No other source will be considered.

Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:

  • The Bitcoin Strategy Tracker’s mNAV Analysis of Diluted Shares is suspended or becomes unreliable.
  • The resolution source is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.
  • Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking.
  • Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change

In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.


Timeline

Market published
Dec 9, 2025, 3:25 pm UTC
Market closed
Outcome is reached.
Resolved
0.85x
0/500

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Outcome
0.85x