Yes 100% chance100% chance
Yes100.0%
No0.0%
Rules
Market Dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date until December 23, 2025 at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Market Close: December 23 at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Observation Period: December 24, 2025 until December 25, 2025 (“2025/12/24” and “2025/12/25” entries as per the resolution source).
- Resolution Time: After the resolution source updates the data for the entirety of the Observation Period, or earlier if the outcome is already determined.
- Market Target: 40,000,000
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves “Yes” if the global stream total during the Observation Period exceeds the Market Target.
- Resolves “No” if it does not.
Resolution Details:
- This market resolves based on the Spotify Chart History for “All I Want for Christmas Is You” on Kworb.net, specifically the Global streams totals shown in the “Streams” tab for the “2025/12/24” and “2025/12/25” entries.
- Only the data displayed on the song’s Kworb stream history page for the Observation Period will be used.
- If the page updates earlier with information that makes the result definitive, the market may resolve early.
Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:
- The resolution source becomes unavailable, unreliable, or undergoes major format changes
- Spotify stream data for the track is not published or cannot be confirmed
In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their positions at the time of cancellation, which may result in a profit or a loss.
Timeline
Market published
Dec 12, 2025, 3:00 pm UTC
Market closed
Dec 23, 2025, 11:59 pm UTC
Resolved
Yes
