Market Dates:

• Market Period: From publication until the official nominations announcement.
• Market Close: January 22, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET — before the live reveal begins. The closing time may be adjusted once the official schedule is announced.
• Resolution Time: Determined after AMPAS releases the official list of nominees.

Resolution Criteria:

• Resolves to “Yes” if “One Battle After Another” receives 9 or more official nominations for the 98th Academy Awards.
• Resolves to “No” if it receives 8 or fewer nominations.
• Only nominations officially published by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) will count toward the total.

Resolution Details:

The outcome will be based on the official AMPAS nominations list, confirmed via the Oscars’ website or the live broadcast.

If the official data becomes unavailable or significantly delayed, results may be verified through credible industry publications such as Variety, Deadline, or The Hollywood Reporter.

Cancellation Conditions:

This market will be canceled if:

• The 98th Academy Awards nominations are not released or the event is canceled.
• AMPAS fails to publish an official or verifiable nominations list.
• Major changes occur to the Oscars’ format or category structure that prevent a consistent count of nominations.

If canceled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation, which could result in a profit or loss depending on share prices.