March Games: Will a #1 Seed win the 2026 NCAA Championship?
$8.37KApr 4, 2026
Yes 100% chance100% chance
Yes100.0%
No0.0%
Rules
Market Dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date until April 4, 2026, at 7:00 AM UTC.
- Market Close: April 4, 2026, at 7:00 AM UTC.
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the results are published on the resolution source.
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves “Yes” if either Duke, Arizona, Florida, or Michigan wins the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship.
- Resolves “No” if the championship is won by any other team.
Resolution Details:
- The four #1 seeds that will be considered towards resolution are Duke (East), Arizona (West), Florida (South), and Michigan (Midwest).
- If any game ends tied at the conclusion of regulation, the market will resolve based on the official result after any overtime period(s), as determined by NCAA rules.
Cancelation Conditions:
- The 2026 NCAA Tournament is canceled or suspended before a champion is announced.
- A #1 seed is disqualified or vacated post-tournament in a manner that nullifies the official result prior to market resolution.
- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.
- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or fails to provide an official outcome.
If the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancelation.
Timeline
Market published
Mar 16, 2026, 5:21 pm UTC
Market closed
Apr 4, 2026, 7:00 am UTC
Resolved
Yes
