March Games: Will a #1 Seed win the 2026 NCAA Championship? thumbnail

March Games: Will a #1 Seed win the 2026 NCAA Championship?

$8.37K
Apr 4, 2026
Yes 100% chance
Yes100.0%
No0.0%

Rules

Market Dates:

  • Market Period: From the publication date until April 4, 2026, at 7:00 AM UTC.
  • Market Close: April 4, 2026, at 7:00 AM UTC.
  • Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the results are published on the resolution source.

Resolution Criteria:

  • Resolves “Yes” if either Duke, Arizona, Florida, or Michigan wins the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship.
  • Resolves “No” if the championship is won by any other team.

Resolution Details:

  • The four #1 seeds that will be considered towards resolution are Duke (East), Arizona (West), Florida (South), and Michigan (Midwest).
  • If any game ends tied at the conclusion of regulation, the market will resolve based on the official result after any overtime period(s), as determined by NCAA rules.

Cancelation Conditions:

  • The 2026 NCAA Tournament is canceled or suspended before a champion is announced.
  • A #1 seed is disqualified or vacated post-tournament in a manner that nullifies the official result prior to market resolution.
  • Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.
  • The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or fails to provide an official outcome.

If the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancelation.


Resolution Source
NCAA

Timeline

Market published
Mar 16, 2026, 5:21 pm UTC
Market closed
Apr 4, 2026, 7:00 am UTC
Resolved
Yes
0/500

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Outcome
Yes