Rules
Elon Musk's fortune has swung sharply in recent months amid post-IPO volatility in SpaceX shares and Tesla stock, briefly touching trillionaire status before pulling back on broader tech weakness and AI valuation concerns. With Tesla's EV and autonomy progress, SpaceX/Starlink performance, and xAI developments all in play, where will Musk's net worth land on July 31, 2026?
Market Dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date until July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Market Close: July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Resolution Time: Upon publication of the Bloomberg Billionaires Index datapoint for July 31, 2026.
Resolution Criteria:
- This market resolves according to Elon Musk's net worth as reported for July 31, 2026, according to the outcome ranges listed below.
- If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market resolves to the higher range bracket.
Resolution Details:
- The resolution source for this market is the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk profile, specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once finalized.
- If this resolution source is unavailable, another credible resolution source will be used.
Cancellation Conditions:
- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or fails to provide sufficient information to determine the outcome.
- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.
If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their shares at cancellation.
