Rules
Market Details:
- Market Period: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Market Close: December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Resolution Time: As soon as a new Bitcoin all-time high is recorded, or following the end of the Market Period.
- Market Target: $126,199.63 (BTC’s All Time High as per Binance)
Market Outcomes:
- This event contains multiple independent outcomes corresponding to the specified dates listed in the market.
- Each outcome resolves independently as either “Yes” or “No”.
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves to “Yes” if Bitcoin spot price is above the Market Target on or before the specified date associated with that outcome.
- Resolves to “No” if Bitcoin spot price stays equal to or below the Market Target until the specified date associated with that outcome.
Resolution Details:
- Only the Binance BTC/USDT spot price chart will be considered, specifically:
- Candles
- One minute candles (“1m”)
- “Trading View”
- “High” price
- For clarity, an outcome referring to a month is interpreted as up until the final moment before that month begins. For example:
- “Before July 2026” means on or before June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Each outcome will be evaluated independently based on whether a new all-time high has been recorded by the specified deadline.
- Prices from other exchanges, indices, or data providers will not be considered.
Cancellation Conditions:
- The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.
- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period.
- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period.
If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.
Timeline
Market published
Jun 25, 2026, 2:51 pm UTC
Market closes
Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 am UTC
Resolution
The outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.
