10-year Treasury yield: Pump to 4.6% or Dump to 4.0%?
Rules
Market Details:
- Market Close: This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached
- Pump Target: 4.60%
- Dump Target: 4.00%
Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves based on which condition is met first:
- "4.6%" if the 10-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds the Pump Target
- "4.0%" if the 10-year Treasury yield drops to equal or below the Dump Target
Resolution Details:
The market resolves based on the U.S. Department of the Treasury's "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" data, specifically:
- Data from the "10 Yr" column
- As published on: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025
Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions
This market will be canceled/invalid if:
- The U.S. Department of the Treasury website or data feed becomes unavailable or unreliable
- The reporting methodology for Treasury yields undergoes significant changes
- Any circumstance that prevents reliable yield tracking
- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change
In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
